Texas Republican Lobbyist News: Mitt Romney has chance in New Mexico
The following is a digest of an article originally published at the Examiner. We’re posting this summary of the article as a public service for use by Republican political consultants and other interested parties active currently in Texas politics.
It looks as though New Mexico may be voting in Mitt Romney’s favor this fall. New Mexico tends to vote more with the Democrats, but it appears that Romney is speaking to these populations. Winning the swing states can be key to the election; this is no doubt a very exciting time to live and vote in those states. The Albuquerque Journal published a recent poll puts Romney and Obama neck and neck, giving Romney a chance at winning this swing state. The entire election this fall seems to be very close, and close races always end up having the decision called from the electoral votes that the more neutral state provide.
“Brian Sanderoff, president of Research & Polling, pointed out that New Mexico’s registered voters are made up of 48 percent Democrats and 32 percent Republicans. Weighting the polling data from this survey indicates Obama getting 45 percent, Romney at 40 percent and Johnson getting about 7 percent. Given that those are precisely the figures reported, this indicates the poll’s result is not a product of over-sampling of either Democrats, Republicans or independents.” A close call, indeed.
There are quite a few uncertain state votes annually; it depends on who is running and how certain viewpoints line up with a state’s culture and philosophy. While many states trend red or blue votes, every election there are some that result in a coin toss. If the race is a close call, which Presidential elections often are, these less certain states can play a huge role regardless of small numbers of electoral votes it may have.
The Electoral College is considered by some to be an outdated custom, and many have called for the popular vote to determine the Presidency. The electoral vote provides an allotted number of votes for states, according the population. Large states, including New York, Texas and California, are given the largest number of votes. Those who support the Electoral College say that it protects smaller states right’s, and that it is a distinct marker of federalism in America. It’s critics argue that it is an antique, and has no real place or purpose in modern America. Perhaps there is some truth to both of these arguments.